The future is electric and batteries for sure but the big question is how are we going to charge the batteries and make the power for all these electric vehicles, homes and industry? All I hear is the closing of power plants, no new hydroelectric and everyone just says solar. Problem with solar is it doesn't work when the sun isn't out.
When electric vehicles are charged at night there is plenty of generation on the grid to power a lot of EV's.
Here is a sample of a load forecast in my area. Now, it's extremely cold, and only 5 mph winds forecasted in the next week so not much from wind.
If you see the load swings from day to night there are about 2000 MW of generation difference. That's pretty true in the summer time too.
Now the average US household uses 24 kwh of electricity per day. If that same amount of energy was charging a car it would do about 70-80 miles. Charging off peak covers most people's driving in 90% of the population. There is always options to charge during peak times too.
One way electric car companies could really benefit is to use their car battery's as a source during peak hours. Could sell electricity for $0.35 / kwh during peak rates, then charge at night at $.05 per kwh. Users could do this too. I think this is where Tesla will be headed with becoming their own energy company, leasing cars to people but utilizing them as power plants and robo taxis.
In general, the base load each year is declining. Due to shrinking manufacturing and efficiencies. Not many new power plants have been built in the past 30 years after a huge boom in the 60s and 70s. In order for our states and power companies to meet their carbon free goals some new technology will have to be developed and acceptance of new nuclear technologies. Wind and solar are part of the picture, the amount of wind out there is nuts. Sometimes we have 2000 MW of wind on the grid and we're flexing other units down to accommodate. My company is also developing hydrogen generation for these times in a pilot program.
It certainly is interesting times where its good to see a bunch of changes in a rather stagnant industry.
Edit: I went back to November just so I could get a screenshot of the load when a lot of wind was on the grid. Wind is growing more and more and we'll soon start storing it in batteries or something. Check it out:
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